Laut neuesten Angaben von Aktivisten in Syrien wurden gestern und heute mehr als 150 Menschen von Sicherheitskräften erschossen. In zahlreichen Städten gingen Sicherheitskräfte auch heute wieder gewaltsam und mit Schusswaffen gegen Trauerzüge bzw. Demonstrationen vor. Aus Protest gegen die Gewalt sind zwei syrische Abgeordnete des (Pseudo-)Parlaments zurückgetreten. Es ist die Frage, wie lange das Regime noch mit Hilfe von Zivilpolizei, Geheimdiensten und den verschiedenen Polizeien und Sicherheitsdiensten gegen die Unruhen vorgehen will. Sollte es zum Einsatz des Militärs in den Städten kommen, würden die Unruhen eine neue Eskalationsstufe erreichen, gleichzeitig könnten viele der “normalen” Wehrpflichtigen aber den Dienst verweigern.
Hier ein paar Meinungen dazu, wie es in Syrien nun weitergeht (via REUTERS):
Sarkis Noum, of Beirut’s an-Nahar newspaper says the fear barrier has been broken in Syria, and that there is a real risk of the army either splitting or abandoning President Assad’s government entirely.
The regime is in trouble. People have been repressed for 40 years but suddenly the wall of fear has crumbled and they are no longer frightened. [...] Each time the regime makes new concessions, the people get bolder and ask for more. They see it as a sign of weakness. The regime doesn’t know how to respond – it’s like an old grudge people have been waiting to avenge. [...] There is a big possibility that the army will split or they won’t accept to take part in a crackdown, if ordered. It is not easy to bring the regime down but it is easy to divide the regime.
Jamir Mroue, an analyst, says government corruption lies at the heart of the people’s anger in the country.
It was a combination of repression, corruption, incompetence and the degeneration of the system. It became combustible and people suffocated. [...] The essential spark was ignited by the privatising and franchising of corruption, which along with repression violated the fabric of society. [...] Assad has to carry out a white coup to clean his entourage of corrupt figures linked to the regime [...] He has to show people that there is dramatic change, that there will be elections in a few years, that he won’t be president for life, that
it is no longer a dynasty. Either he will opt for transformation of the regime or it will be torn apart.
Talal Salman, the publisher of the Beirut-based as-Safir daily newspaper, says Assad will have to make major changes to the government and those involved in governance in order to appease protesters.
“The Baath Party is ancient, outdated and obsolete. The decisions are being made by the security forces and services who play a fundamental role in the country. They are the real force. [...] President Assad might be able to overcome this crisis and contain the situation but the cost may be high… He has to change the
regime or the people will force him to.
Finally, a Syrian who refused to give her name had this to say:
There isn’t anything impossible any more after Egypt and Tunisia [...] Seeing Syrians defying the security forces on the streets while knowing that they might be shot dead is something beyond imagination. Do you think these people are willing to die just for some reforms or for an increase in wages? These people want the Assad regime out.

Zabadani, 22.04.: "Keine Salafisten, keine Muslimbrüder - Ich bin ein Extremist der Freiheit"